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Readers' forum: No money in cooling
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There is a reason why those who frame this debate have stopped calling it global warming and now prefer to call it climate change.
Finally, we should ask ourselves 3 questions:
1. Is global warming occurring?
2. If it is, is it bad?
3. If it's bad, can our actions affect it.
Sadly, the answer to all of the above is no. I remain a sincere skeptic.
"Finally, we should ask ourselves 3 questions:
1. Is global warming occurring?
2. If it is, is it bad?
3. If it's bad, can our actions affect it."
And then you said the answer to all three is "no" ?!?
It takes a pretty special set of sunglasses to see the world that way.
The truth, of course, is that the answers to all three questions is a resounding YES.
You call yourself a skeptic. That's fine, I'm a skeptic on many subjects, too.
There is a huge difference, however, between being skeptical and being a denialist. Skeptics admit that when the evidence is available to support changing their minds, they change their minds.
Thus far every genuinely "skeptical" question about AGW has been resolved through reasoned analysis and AGW remains a reality.
What would it take to persuade you?
That misuse makes many wary of the entire issue, despite the science, and that's a disservice to science.
1. Is global warming occurring?
2. If it is, is it bad?
3. If it's bad, can our actions affect it."
1. Most probably. There is always a place for questioning everything but the scientific world that specializes in this area has reached a consensus that is unshaken by the doubters. Virtually every scientific paper on the topic has presented evidence for the warming and virtually no research shows the opposite.
2. Absolutely! What would a twenty foot rise in sea level do to coastal cities? What would a rise of 2.5 degree Celsius mean for global weather patterns? For agriculture? We base our projections on assumptions of reasonable stability and these scenarios do not include stability.
3. Most probably! We can speed it up or, maybe, slow it down or even stop it over time. If it is anthropogenic, what are the consequences of not acting? See your question #2. If it is not anthropogenic, we still must take actions to buffer ourselves against the consequences.
Don't you think if Exxon really thought that the research was tainted and that "good" science would invalidate everything else being published, they would have spent some money on their own research? Especially when everything in the scientific literature was leading to regulations that would put a dent in their profits? Even if it was sham research, just designed to raise a little doubt? The tobacco companies put up more resistance! It wouldn't surprise me if Exxon funded their own studies, didn't like the results, and squashed them so they would never see the light of day.
GM also made millions in profits in years past, but where are they now? Could this be the future for most (if not all) American companies that don't have a "GREEN" enough image?
When po-culture and the government allign and put a bulls-eye on your back... There's not much you can do to survive.
Resistance is futile!
You make the mistake of thinking the republican party is conservative.
BUT there have been so many reports of contrary opinions being suppressed within those organizations that it is pretty obvious that the stances are politically motivated.
Just this week another report has been circulating in the mainstream news of a suppressed EPA report that urges us not to make "decisions based on a scientific hypothesis that does not appear to explain most of the available data."
Couple that with many reports of NASA GISS data being improperly manipulated (one of the major sources of data used by scientists) and that many of the stations have an error range of greater than +-2%
Partially due to improper placement.
There are a lot of questions.
There is money on both sides. I can't prove that the "oil funded" surveys were done correctly. But The only evidence ever given is that it was funded by oil money. That's it. The methods are not attacked ... just the funding. I think they look valid and fair.
The methods, funding, validity, and politics of AGW stances are in heavy question from multiple sources.
I'm ready to be convinced, but please show me some real evidence. Otherwise I'll just go on thinking you're a bunch of Marxists with an agenda.
Any study funded by socialists is going to argue the socialist position. To think otherwise is to be a sillyhead.
This adds nothing to the discussion and proves my point.
RE: ustraveler
No credible science says the ocean will raise 20 feet (more like 18 inches max), and analysis shows we could mitigate warming by about a tenth of a degree this century--not noticeable--by spending trillions of dollars. Not worth it. Mankind has always flourished during warmer times, and many conclude warming would have net positive effects including increased crop production.
From 1998 to 2008 University of Alabama, Huntsville (UAH) data shows a very slight rise of 0.028 degrees C.
Over the same period Remote Sensing Systems (RSS) data shows a very slight decline of 0.01 degrees C.
Hadley Climate Research Unit Temperature (HadCRUT) data shows a very slight rise of 0.017 degrees C.
For all intents and purposes these are flat charts -- changes measured in the hundredths of a degree. NASA's GISS data, to which you refer, shows an upward trend five times larger than the closest other metric. It also relies a great deal on extrapolation and interpolation. But the computer algorithms which perform these adjustments are not available for scientific review. I wonder whether we can get global warming alarmist James Hansen to open them up to scrutiny. Probably not.
After NASA fixed their Y2K bug, 1998 was no longer the hottest year on record. (It was 1934.) Where were the headlines on that?
The fact remains that 3 of 4 datasets agree with each other, and NASA's GISS numbers are the only ones that indicate significant warming over the last decade. Why won't they publish their interpolation algorithms for peer review? This is supposed to be science, after all. How many climate models are relying on what could be bad data?
1. What should the temperature of the Earth be?
2. What evidence do you have to support your temperature from question #1?
The data shows a warming trend, but is that necessarily bad? What if, the Earth is warming up to it's ideal temperature and we stop it?
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